Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.063799 0.072104 0.080594 0.089893 0.099761 0.109893 0.121055
2025-08-17 0.050296 0.062437 0.075456 0.090317 0.106680 0.124033 0.143713
2025-08-24 0.039290 0.053306 0.069002 0.087559 0.108611 0.131493 0.158005
2025-08-31 0.031350 0.046383 0.063919 0.085309 0.110190 0.137784 0.170296
2025-09-07 0.026729 0.042716 0.062031 0.086199 0.114869 0.147155 0.185669
2025-09-14 0.023382 0.040175 0.061120 0.087915 0.120233 0.157085 0.201489
2025-09-21 0.021438 0.039184 0.061915 0.091512 0.127673 0.169302 0.219839
2025-09-28 0.018775 0.036903 0.060839 0.092620 0.131989 0.177771 0.233783
2025-10-05 0.018865 0.038451 0.064696 0.099868 0.143718 0.194947 0.257847
2025-10-12 0.015995 0.035404 0.062283 0.099029 0.145468 0.200246 0.267996
2025-10-19 0.014343 0.033990 0.061928 0.100714 0.150238 0.209074 0.282234
2025-10-26 0.012437 0.031959 0.060572 0.100983 0.153161 0.215626 0.293742
2025-11-02 0.010909 0.030479 0.060049 0.102506 0.157906 0.224704 0.308677
2025-11-09 0.009230 0.028532 0.058748 0.102941 0.161277 0.232156 0.321761
2025-11-16 0.006985 0.025157 0.055083 0.099971 0.160136 0.233975 0.327996
2025-11-23 0.005224 0.022300 0.051953 0.097547 0.159555 0.236372 0.334838
2025-11-30 0.004348 0.021096 0.051293 0.098505 0.163333 0.244130 0.348141
2025-12-07 0.003731 0.020343 0.051289 0.100353 0.168256 0.253302 0.363158
2025-12-14 0.003486 0.020454 0.052691 0.104223 0.175865 0.265849 0.382310
2025-12-21 0.002892 0.019521 0.052279 0.105414 0.179876 0.273862 0.395917
2025-12-28 0.003225 0.021189 0.056337 0.113194 0.192756 0.293088 0.423304
2026-01-04 0.002433 0.019498 0.054539 0.112294 0.193933 0.297521 0.432529
2026-01-11 0.002056 0.018901 0.054589 0.114101 0.198743 0.306539 0.447390